Socio-economic drivers - IMAGE - Revision history

Rineke Oostenrijk: Text replacement - "|QQQ " to ""

2020-06-23T15:14:48Z

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	To explore future scenarios, exogenous assumptions need to be made for a range of factors that shape the direction and rate of change in key model variables and results. Together with the endogenous functional relationships and model parameters that typify model behaviour, these exogenous assumptions drive the outcome of model calculations. These assumptions are the drivers that determine the model results, subject to the assumed external conditions.		To explore future scenarios, exogenous assumptions need to be made for a range of factors that shape the direction and rate of change in key model variables and results. Together with the endogenous functional relationships and model parameters that typify model behaviour, these exogenous assumptions drive the outcome of model calculations. These assumptions are the drivers that determine the model results, subject to the assumed external conditions.

Rineke Oostenrijk: Text replacement - "HasParent=(.*) " to "QQQ "

2020-06-23T15:10:46Z

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	To explore future scenarios, exogenous assumptions need to be made for a range of factors that shape the direction and rate of change in key model variables and results. Together with the endogenous functional relationships and model parameters that typify model behaviour, these exogenous assumptions drive the outcome of model calculations. These assumptions are the drivers that determine the model results, subject to the assumed external conditions.		To explore future scenarios, exogenous assumptions need to be made for a range of factors that shape the direction and rate of change in key model variables and results. Together with the endogenous functional relationships and model parameters that typify model behaviour, these exogenous assumptions drive the outcome of model calculations. These assumptions are the drivers that determine the model results, subject to the assumed external conditions.

Rineke Oostenrijk: Text replacement - "|HasSeq=2 " to ""

2020-06-23T15:02:00Z

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Rineke Oostenrijk: Text replacement - "|HasLevel=1 " to ""

2020-06-23T14:54:46Z

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Oreane Edelenbosch at 10:46, 13 January 2017

2017-01-13T10:46:55Z

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	The scenario drivers and underlying narrative, together with the quantitative model drivers, form a scenario that is inextricably linked with the results from an IMAGE scenario run.		The scenario drivers and underlying narrative, together with the quantitative model drivers, form a scenario that is inextricably linked with the results from an IMAGE scenario run.
	~~<div style="clear:both"></div>~~

	<figure id="fig:IMAGE_3">		<figure id="fig:IMAGE_3">
	[[File:42205385.png\|none\|600px\|thumb\|<caption> Scenario development and model drivers IMAGE 3.0</caption>]]		[[File:42205385.png\|none\|600px\|thumb\|<caption> Scenario development and model drivers IMAGE 3.0</caption>]]
	</figure>		</figure>
			<div style="clear:both"></div>

Oreane Edelenbosch at 17:42, 11 January 2017

2017-01-11T17:42:50Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 19:42, 11 January 2017
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	{{ModelDocumentationTemplate		{{ModelDocumentationTemplate
			\|IsEmpty=No
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	\|HasParent=Model Documentation_-_IMAGE		\|HasParent=Model Documentation_-_IMAGE
	~~\|DocumentationCategory=Socio-economic drivers~~
	}}		}}
	To explore future scenarios, exogenous assumptions need to be made for a range of factors that shape the direction and rate of change in key model variables and results. Together with the endogenous functional relationships and model parameters that typify model behaviour, these exogenous assumptions drive the outcome of model calculations. These assumptions are the drivers that determine the model results, subject to the assumed external conditions.		To explore future scenarios, exogenous assumptions need to be made for a range of factors that shape the direction and rate of change in key model variables and results. Together with the endogenous functional relationships and model parameters that typify model behaviour, these exogenous assumptions drive the outcome of model calculations. These assumptions are the drivers that determine the model results, subject to the assumed external conditions.

	In IMAGE, six groups of assumptions are distinguished that make up the scenario drivers. These six groups are the basis for all scenarios and are embedded in a scenario narrative or storyline. This includes cases where current trends and dynamics are assumed to continue into the future, commonly referred to as reference or ''business-as usual'' scenarios. But scenario drivers can also be used to describe a set of contrasting ~~future~~ futures to explore the relevant range of uncertain yet plausible developments.		In IMAGE, six groups of assumptions are distinguished that make up the scenario drivers. These six groups are the basis for all scenarios and are embedded in a scenario narrative or storyline. This includes cases where current trends and dynamics are assumed to continue into the future, commonly referred to as reference or ''business-as usual'' scenarios. But scenario drivers can also be used to describe a set of contrasting futures to explore the relevant range of uncertain yet plausible developments.

	As a rule, scenario drivers are not numerical model inputs but, in qualitative or semiquantitative terms, govern a detailed set of exogenous assumptions in terms of model input to the various components of the model framework. Numerical model drivers for a specific scenario are established on the basis of the six generic scenario drivers.		As a rule, scenario drivers are not numerical model inputs but, in qualitative or semiquantitative terms, govern a detailed set of exogenous assumptions in terms of model input to the various components of the model framework. Numerical model drivers for a specific scenario are established on the basis of the six generic scenario drivers.

Rineke Oostenrijk at 09:18, 25 October 2016

2016-10-25T09:18:04Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 11:18, 25 October 2016
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	The scenario drivers and underlying narrative, together with the quantitative model drivers, form a scenario that is inextricably linked with the results from an IMAGE scenario run.		The scenario drivers and underlying narrative, together with the quantitative model drivers, form a scenario that is inextricably linked with the results from an IMAGE scenario run.
			<div style="clear:both"></div>

	<figure id="fig:IMAGE_3">		<figure id="fig:IMAGE_3">
	[[File:42205385.png\|none\|600px\|thumb\|<caption> Scenario development and model drivers IMAGE 3.0</caption>]]		[[File:42205385.png\|none\|600px\|thumb\|<caption> Scenario development and model drivers IMAGE 3.0</caption>]]
	</figure>		</figure>

Harmen Sytze de Boer at 05:10, 9 August 2016

2016-08-09T05:10:19Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 07:10, 9 August 2016
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	[[File:42205385.png\|none\|600px\|thumb\|<caption> Scenario development and model drivers IMAGE 3.0</caption>]]		[[File:42205385.png\|none\|600px\|thumb\|<caption> Scenario development and model drivers IMAGE 3.0</caption>]]
	</figure>		</figure>


	~~''This Wiki covers the summer 2014 version of the IMAGE model. A dedicated description can be found on the [http://themasites.pbl.nl/models/image/index.php/Drivers IMAGE 3.0 web page].''~~

Harmen Sytze de Boer at 14:09, 8 August 2016

2016-08-08T14:09:29Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:09, 8 August 2016
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	The scenario drivers and underlying narrative, together with the quantitative model drivers, form a scenario that is inextricably linked with the results from an IMAGE scenario run.		The scenario drivers and underlying narrative, together with the quantitative model drivers, form a scenario that is inextricably linked with the results from an IMAGE scenario run.

	~~[[File:42205385.png]]~~

	~~'''Figure 2~~.1: Scenario development and model drivers IMAGE 3.0~~'''~~		<figure id="fig:IMAGE_3">
			[[File:42205385.png\|none\|600px\|thumb\|<caption> Scenario development and model drivers IMAGE 3.0</caption>]]
			</figure>


	''This Wiki covers the summer 2014 version of the IMAGE model. A dedicated description can be found on the [http://themasites.pbl.nl/models/image/index.php/Drivers IMAGE 3.0 web page].''		''This Wiki covers the summer 2014 version of the IMAGE model. A dedicated description can be found on the [http://themasites.pbl.nl/models/image/index.php/Drivers IMAGE 3.0 web page].''

Rineke Oostenrijk: 1 revision imported

2016-08-05T18:50:44Z

1 revision imported

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Revision as of 20:50, 5 August 2016