Snapshot of - IMACLIM-India

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Archive of IMACLIM-India, version: 1.0

Reference card - IMACLIM-India

The reference card is a clearly defined description of model features. The numerous options have been organized into a limited amount of default and model specific (non default) options. In addition some features are described by a short clarifying text.

Legend:

  • not implemented
  • implemented
  • implemented (not default option)

About

Name and version

IMACLIM-India 1.0

Institution

Indian Institute of Management Lucknow (IIML), India, www.iiml.ac.in., Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad (IIMA), India, www.iima.ac.in.

Documentation

IMACLIM-India documentation is limited and consists of a reference card

Process state

in preparation

Model scope and methods

Model type

  • Integrated assessment model
  • Energy system model
  • CGE
  • CBA-integrated assessment model

Geographical scope

  • Global
  • Regional

Objective

Economy-wide model

Solution concept

  • Partial equilibrium (price elastic demand)
  • Partial equilibrium (fixed demand)
  • General equilibrium (closed economy)

Solution horizon

  • Recursive dynamic (myopic)
  • Intertemporal optimization (foresight)

Solution method

  • Simulation
  • Optimization


Temporal dimension

Base year:2012, time steps:2030 and 2050, horizon: 2050

Spatial dimension

Number of regions:India

Time discounting type

  • Discount rate exogenous
  • Discount rate endogenous

Policies

  • Emission tax
  • Emission pricing
  • Cap and trade
  • Fuel taxes
  • Fuel subsidies
  • Feed-in-tariff
  • Portfolio standard
  • Capacity targets
  • Emission standards
  • Energy efficiency standards
  • Agricultural producer subsidies
  • Agricultural consumer subsidies
  • Land protection
  • Pricing carbon stocks

Socio-economic drivers

Population

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Population age structure

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Education level

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Urbanization rate

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

GDP

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Income distribution

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Employment rate

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Labor productivity

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Total factor productivity

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Autonomous energy efficiency improvements

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)


Macro-economy

Economic sector

Industry

  • Yes (physical)
  • Yes (economic)
  • Yes (physical & economic)

Energy

  • Yes (physical)
  • Yes (economic)
  • Yes (physical & economic)

Transportation

  • Yes (physical)
  • Yes (economic)
  • Yes (physical & economic)

Residential and commercial

  • Yes (physical)
  • Yes (economic)
  • Yes (physical & economic)

Agriculture

  • Yes (physical)
  • Yes (economic)
  • Yes (physical & economic)

Forestry

  • Yes (physical)
  • Yes (economic)
  • Yes (physical & economic)


Macro-economy

Trade

  • Coal
  • Oil
  • Gas
  • Uranium
  • Electricity
  • Bioenergy crops
  • Food crops
  • Capital
  • Emissions permits
  • Non-energy goods

Cost measures

  • GDP loss
  • Welfare loss
  • Consumption loss
  • Area under MAC
  • Energy system cost mark-up

Categorization by group

  • Income
  • Urban - rural
  • Technology adoption
  • Age
  • Gender
  • Education level
  • Household size

Institutional and political factors

  • Early retirement of capital allowed
  • Interest rates differentiated by country/region
  • Regional risk factors included
  • Technology costs differentiated by country/region
  • Technological change differentiated by country/region
  • Behavioural change differentiated by country/region
  • Constraints on cross country financial transfers

Resource use

Coal

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Conventional Oil

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Unconventional Oil

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Conventional Gas

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Unconventional Gas

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Uranium

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Bioenergy

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Water

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Raw Materials

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Land

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)


Technological change

Energy conversion technologies

  • No technological change
  • Exogenous technological change
  • Endogenous technological change

Energy End-use

  • No technological change
  • Exogenous technological change
  • Endogenous technological change

Material Use

  • No technological change
  • Exogenous technological change
  • Endogenous technological change

Agriculture (tc)

  • No technological change
  • Exogenous technological change
  • Endogenous technological change


Energy


Energy technology substitution

Energy technology choice

  • No discrete technology choices
  • Logit choice model
  • Production function
  • Linear choice (lowest cost)
  • Lowest cost with adjustment penalties

Energy technology substitutability

  • Mostly high substitutability
  • Mostly low substitutability
  • Mixed high and low substitutability

Energy technology deployment

  • Expansion and decline constraints
  • System integration constraints

Energy

Electricity technologies

  • Coal w/o CCS
  • Coal w/ CCS
  • Gas w/o CCS
  • Gas w/ CCS
  • Oil w/o CCS
  • Oil w/ CCS
  • Bioenergy w/o CCS
  • Bioenergy w/ CCS
  • Geothermal power
  • Nuclear power
  • Solar power
  • Solar power-central PV
  • Solar power-distributed PV
  • Solar power-CSP
  • Wind power
  • Wind power-onshore
  • Wind power-offshore
  • Hydroelectric power
  • Ocean power

Hydrogen production

  • Coal to hydrogen w/o CCS
  • Coal to hydrogen w/ CCS
  • Natural gas to hydrogen w/o CCS
  • Natural gas to hydrogen w/ CCS
  • Oil to hydrogen w/o CCS
  • Oil to hydrogen w/ CCS
  • Biomass to hydrogen w/o CCS
  • Biomass to hydrogen w/ CCS
  • Nuclear thermochemical hydrogen
  • Solar thermochemical hydrogen
  • Electrolysis

Refined liquids

  • Coal to liquids w/o CCS
  • Coal to liquids w/ CCS
  • Gas to liquids w/o CCS
  • Gas to liquids w/ CCS
  • Bioliquids w/o CCS
  • Bioliquids w/ CCS
  • Oil refining

Refined gases

  • Coal to gas w/o CCS
  • Coal to gas w/ CCS
  • Oil to gas w/o CCS
  • Oil to gas w/ CCS
  • Biomass to gas w/o CCS
  • Biomass to gas w/ CCS

Heat generation

  • Coal heat
  • Natural gas heat
  • Oil heat
  • Biomass heat
  • Geothermal heat
  • Solarthermal heat
  • CHP (coupled heat and power)

Grid Infra Structure

Electricity

  • Yes (aggregate)
  • Yes (spatially explicit)

Gas

  • Yes (aggregate)
  • Yes (spatially explicit)

Heat

  • Yes (aggregate)
  • Yes (spatially explicit)

CO2

  • Yes (aggregate)
  • Yes (spatially explicit)

Hydrogen

  • Yes (aggregate)
  • Yes (spatially explicit)


Energy end-use technologies

Passenger transportation

  • Passenger trains
  • Buses
  • Light Duty Vehicles (LDVs)
  • Electric LDVs
  • Hydrogen LDVs
  • Hybrid LDVs
  • Gasoline LDVs
  • Diesel LDVs
  • Passenger aircrafts

Freight transportation

  • Freight trains
  • Heavy duty vehicles
  • Freight aircrafts
  • Freight ships

Industry

  • Steel production
  • Aluminium production
  • Cement production
  • Petrochemical production
  • Paper production
  • Plastics production
  • Pulp production

Residential and commercial

  • Space heating
  • Space cooling
  • Cooking
  • Refrigeration
  • Washing
  • Lighting

Land-use

Land cover

  • Cropland
  • Cropland irrigated
  • Cropland food crops
  • Cropland feed crops
  • Cropland energy crops
  • Forest
  • Managed forest
  • Natural forest
  • Pasture
  • Shrubland
  • Built-up area

Agriculture and forestry demands

  • Agriculture food
  • Agriculture food crops
  • Agriculture food livestock
  • Agriculture feed
  • Agriculture feed crops
  • Agriculture feed livestock
  • Agriculture non-food
  • Agriculture non-food crops
  • Agriculture non-food livestock
  • Agriculture bioenergy
  • Agriculture residues
  • Forest industrial roundwood
  • Forest fuelwood
  • Forest residues

Agricultural commodities

  • Wheat
  • Rice
  • Other coarse grains
  • Oilseeds
  • Sugar crops
  • Ruminant meat
  • Non-ruminant meat and eggs
  • Dairy products

Emission, climate and impacts

Greenhouse gases

  • CO2 fossil fuels
  • CO2 cement
  • CO2 land use
  • CH4 energy
  • CH4 land use
  • CH4 other
  • N2O energy
  • N2O land use
  • N2O other
  • CFCs
  • HFCs
  • SF6
  • PFCs

Pollutants

  • CO energy
  • CO land use
  • CO other
  • NOx energy
  • NOx land use
  • NOx other
  • VOC energy
  • VOC land use
  • VOC other
  • SO2 energy
  • SO2 land use
  • SO2 other
  • BC energy
  • BC land use
  • BC other
  • OC energy
  • OC land use
  • OC other
  • NH3 energy
  • NH3 land use
  • NH3 other

Climate indicators

  • Concentration: CO2
  • Concentration: CH4
  • Concentration: N2O
  • Concentration: Kyoto gases
  • Radiative forcing: CO2
  • Radiative forcing: CH4
  • Radiative forcing: N2O
  • Radiative forcing: F-gases
  • Radiative forcing: Kyoto gases
  • Radiative forcing: aerosols
  • Radiative forcing: land albedo
  • Radiative forcing: AN3A
  • Radiative forcing: total
  • Temperature change
  • Sea level rise
  • Ocean acidification

Carbon dioxide removal

  • Bioenergy with CCS
  • Reforestation
  • Afforestation
  • Soil carbon enhancement
  • Direct air capture
  • Enhanced weathering

Climate change impacts

  • Agriculture
  • Energy supply
  • Energy demand
  • Economic output
  • Built capital
  • Inequality

Co-Linkages

  • Energy security: Fossil fuel imports & exports (region)
  • Energy access: Household energy consumption
  • Air pollution & health: Source-based aerosol emissions
  • Air pollution & health: Health impacts of air Pollution
  • Food access
  • Water availability
  • Biodiversity



Model Documentation - IMACLIM-India

The IMACLIM modelling platform has been developed at CIRED, International Centre for Research in Environment and Development located in Paris, since the 1990’s. The objective has been to articulate energy and climate policies based on the hybrid energy-economy architecture. Several versions have been developed like the global recursive dynamic model IMACLIM-R World and national versions like the recursive dynamic IMACLIM-R France and the comparative static version IMACLIM-S. Further, national versions for developing countries like Brazil and South Africa have also been developed. On similar lines, we construct the version for India IMACLIM-IND discussed in the sections below. IMACLIM-IND is a computable general equilibrium model (CGEM) designed to assess the medium- to long-term macroeconomic impacts of aggregate price or quantity-based carbon policies, in an accounting framework where economic and physical flows (with a special focus on energy balances) are equilibrated. It is based on the IMACLIM-IND departs from the standard neoclassical model in the main feature that their description of the consumers’ and producers’ trade-offs, and the underlying technical systems, are specifically designed to facilitate calibration on bottom-up expertise in the energy field, with a view to guaranteeing technical realism to their simulations of even large mutations of the energy systems.

IMACLIM-IND is set up to project the Indian economy for the medium term (2030) and long term (2050). The growth engine of the model results from the combination of exogenous assumptions regarding the demographics of the labour force  and Harrod-neutral technical change , i.e. labour productivity gains. Growth develops under constraint of capital accumulation, which follows the simplifying assumption of proportionality to physical investment.

Calibration is the first step in model set-up where the parameters and variables are inverted for computing the output from model equations. Calibration is based on hybrid Input-Output table which involves heavy data treatment.

1) Model scope and methods - IMACLIM-India

IMACLIM-IND operates in a comparative-static framework as a system of simultaneous non-linear equations:

With  a set of  variables,  a set of  parameters and  a set of  functions, for some of them linear, for some of them non-linear. The values of some variables at calibration year constitute a specific subset of parameters, which we systematically note as the variables with a  index. The  functions embody constraints of either an accounting nature or a behavioral nature. The accounting constraints impose themselves on the modeler for the sake of consistency. The behavioral constraints, quite distinctively, convey the modeler’s views on economic causalities and correlations.

1.1) Model concept, solver and details - IMACLIM-India

1.3) Temporal dimension - IMACLIM-India

1.4) Spatial dimension - IMACLIM-India

1.5) Policy - IMACLIM-India

2) Socio-economic drivers - IMACLIM-India

2.1) Population - IMACLIM-India

2.2) Economic activity - IMACLIM-India

3) Macro-economy - IMACLIM-India

3.1) Production system and representation of economic sectors - IMACLIM-India

3.2) Capital and labour markets - IMACLIM-India

3.3) Monetary instruments - IMACLIM-India

3.4) Trade - IMACLIM-India

3.5) Technological change - IMACLIM-India

4) Energy - IMACLIM-India

4.1) Energy resource endowments - IMACLIM-India

4.1.1) Fossil energy resources - IMACLIM-India

4.1.2) Uranium and other fissile resources - IMACLIM-India

4.1.3) Bioenergy - IMACLIM-India

4.1.4) Non-biomass renewables - IMACLIM-India

4.2) Energy conversion - IMACLIM-India

4.2.1) Electricity - IMACLIM-India

4.2.2) Heat - IMACLIM-India

4.2.3) Gaseous fuels - IMACLIM-India

4.2.4) Liquid fuels - IMACLIM-India

4.2.5) Solid fuels - IMACLIM-India

4.2.6) Grid, pipelines and other infrastructure - IMACLIM-India

4.3) Energy end-use - IMACLIM-India

4.3.1) Transport - IMACLIM-India

4.3.2) Residential and commercial sectors - IMACLIM-India

4.3.3) Industrial sector - IMACLIM-India

4.3.4) Other end-use - IMACLIM-India

4.4) Energy demand - IMACLIM-India

4.5) Technological change in energy - IMACLIM-India

5) Land-use - IMACLIM-India

5.1) Agriculture - IMACLIM-India

5.2) Forestry - IMACLIM-India

5.3) Land-use change - IMACLIM-India

5.4) Bioenergy land-use - IMACLIM-India

5.5) Other land-use - IMACLIM-India

5.6) Agricultural demand - IMACLIM-India

5.7) Technological change in land-use - IMACLIM-India

6) Emissions - IMACLIM-India

6.1) GHGs - IMACLIM-India

6.2) Pollutants and non-GHG forcing agents - IMACLIM-India

6.3) Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) options - IMACLIM-India

7) Climate - IMACLIM-India

7.1) Modelling of climate indicators - IMACLIM-India

7.2) Climate damages, temperature changes - IMACLIM-India

8) Non-climate sustainability dimension - IMACLIM-India

8.1) Air pollution and health - IMACLIM-India

8.2) Water - IMACLIM-India

8.3) Other materials - IMACLIM-India

8.4) Other sustainability dimensions - IMACLIM-India

9) Appendices - IMACLIM-India

9.1) Mathematical model description - IMACLIM-India

9.2) Data - IMACLIM-India

10) References - IMACLIM-India