Economic activity - BLUES

Model Documentation - BLUES
Socio-economic drivers - BLUES Population - BLUES Economic activity - BLUES Macro-economy - BLUES Production system and representation of economic sectors - BLUES Capital and labour markets - BLUES Monetary instruments - BLUES Trade - BLUES Technological change - BLUES Energy - BLUES Energy resource endowments - BLUES Fossil energy resources - BLUES Uranium and other fissile resources - BLUES Bioenergy - BLUES Non-biomass renewables - BLUES Energy conversion - BLUES Electricity - BLUES Heat - BLUES Gaseous fuels - BLUES Liquid fuels - BLUES Solid fuels - BLUES Grid, pipelines and other infrastructure - BLUES Energy end-use - BLUES Transport - BLUES Residential and commercial sectors - BLUES Industrial sector - BLUES Other end-use - BLUES Energy demand - BLUES Technological change in energy - BLUES Land-use - BLUES Agriculture - BLUES Forestry - BLUES Land-use change - BLUES Bioenergy land-use - BLUES Other land-use - BLUES Agricultural demand - BLUES Technological change in land-use - BLUES Emissions - BLUES GHGs - BLUES Pollutants and non-GHG forcing agents - BLUES Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) options - BLUES Climate - BLUES Modelling of climate indicators - BLUES Climate damages, temperature changes - BLUES Non-climate sustainability dimension - BLUES Air pollution and health - BLUES Water - BLUES Other materials - BLUES Other sustainability dimensions - BLUES Appendices - BLUES Mathematical model description - BLUES Data - BLUES References - BLUES
Corresponding documentation
AIM-Hub BLUES C3IAM COFFEE-TEA DNE21+ GCAM GEM-E3 GRACE IFs IMACLIM IMAGE MESSAGE-GLOBIOM POLES PROMETHEUS REMIND-MAgPIE TIAM-UCL WITCH
Previous versions
Archive of BLUES version 1.0
Model information
Model link	https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-018-0213-y
Institution	COPPE/UFRJ (Cenergia), Brazil, http://www.cenergialab.coppe.ufrj.br/.
Solution concept	General equilibrium (closed economy)
Solution method	Optimization
Anticipation

GDP growth rate projections are based largely on SSPs projections (Dellink et al 2015), with adjustments made for the short-term to reflect current economic activity in Brazil. Short-term projections through 2020 are based on The Focus Bulletin published by the Brazilian Central Bank (BCB 2017). The GDP projection of the Reference scenario in BLUES is shown in the figure below.

Population projections for Brazil from IBGE and SSPs/caption>

References

BCB. (2017). Sistema de Expectativas de Mercado. Retrieved September 01, 2017, from https://www3.bcb.gov.br/expectativas/publico/consulta/serieestatisticas

Dellink, R., Chateau, J., Lanzi, E., Magné, B., 2015. Long-term economic growth projections in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Glob. Environ. Chang. IN PRESS, 1–15. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004