Difference between revisions of "Model concept, solver and details - IFs"

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IFs is a tool for thinking about long-term global trends and strategic planning for the future. Among the unique features of the system is the extensive integration of models across human capacity, social, and natural systems.  IFs contains highly integrated (hard-linked) models across demographic, economic, education, health, governance, agriculture, energy, infrastructure, water, climate and other subsystems for 186 countries interacting in the global system.  The central purpose of IFs is to facilitate exploration of global futures through alternative scenarios.   
 
IFs is a tool for thinking about long-term global trends and strategic planning for the future. Among the unique features of the system is the extensive integration of models across human capacity, social, and natural systems.  IFs contains highly integrated (hard-linked) models across demographic, economic, education, health, governance, agriculture, energy, infrastructure, water, climate and other subsystems for 186 countries interacting in the global system.  The central purpose of IFs is to facilitate exploration of global futures through alternative scenarios.   
 
IFs can help a user<br/>
 
IFs can help a user<br/>
 +
 
• Understand the state of major global systems<br/>
 
• Understand the state of major global systems<br/>
 
• Explore long-term trends and consider where they might take us<br/>
 
• Explore long-term trends and consider where they might take us<br/>
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• Develop alternative scenarios (if-then statements) about the future<br/>
 
• Develop alternative scenarios (if-then statements) about the future<br/>
 
• Investigate how different agent categories (households, firms and governments) can shape the future<br/>
 
• Investigate how different agent categories (households, firms and governments) can shape the future<br/>
 +
 
IFs is integrated with a large database (more than 4,000 series) for its countries, most of which include data since 1960. The system is fully imbedded in an interactive interface, and it is both open source and freely available to users both on-line (www.ifs.du.edu) and in downloadable form. The interface facilitates data analysis, projection exploration and comparison, and flexible scenario analysis.
 
IFs is integrated with a large database (more than 4,000 series) for its countries, most of which include data since 1960. The system is fully imbedded in an interactive interface, and it is both open source and freely available to users both on-line (www.ifs.du.edu) and in downloadable form. The interface facilitates data analysis, projection exploration and comparison, and flexible scenario analysis.
 
The models of IFs and their interactions. Figure 1 shows the major hard-linked models within the IFs system.
 
The models of IFs and their interactions. Figure 1 shows the major hard-linked models within the IFs system.

Revision as of 22:31, 2 August 2018

Alert-warning.png Note: The documentation of IFs is 'under review' and is not yet 'published'!

Model Documentation - IFs

Corresponding documentation
Previous versions
Model information
Model link
Institution Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, University of Denver (Pardee Center), Colorado, USA, https://pardee.du.edu/.
Solution concept
Solution method Dynamic recursive with annual time steps through 2100.
Anticipation Myopic

International Futures (IFs) is a large-scale, long-term, integrated global modeling system. The system is dynamic recursive with 1-year time steps through 2100. IFs is a tool for thinking about long-term global trends and strategic planning for the future. Among the unique features of the system is the extensive integration of models across human capacity, social, and natural systems. IFs contains highly integrated (hard-linked) models across demographic, economic, education, health, governance, agriculture, energy, infrastructure, water, climate and other subsystems for 186 countries interacting in the global system. The central purpose of IFs is to facilitate exploration of global futures through alternative scenarios. IFs can help a user

• Understand the state of major global systems
• Explore long-term trends and consider where they might take us
• Learn about the dynamic interactions across global subsystems
• Clarify long-term organizational goals/priorities
• Develop alternative scenarios (if-then statements) about the future
• Investigate how different agent categories (households, firms and governments) can shape the future

IFs is integrated with a large database (more than 4,000 series) for its countries, most of which include data since 1960. The system is fully imbedded in an interactive interface, and it is both open source and freely available to users both on-line (www.ifs.du.edu) and in downloadable form. The interface facilitates data analysis, projection exploration and comparison, and flexible scenario analysis. The models of IFs and their interactions. Figure 1 shows the major hard-linked models within the IFs system.