References - POLES

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Model Documentation - POLES

Corresponding documentation
Previous versions
Model information
Model link
Institution JRC - Joint Research Centre - European Commission (EC-JRC), Belgium, http://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/.
Solution concept Partial equilibrium (price elastic demand)
Solution method SimulationRecursive simulation
Anticipation Myopic

EDGAR EC-JRC 2015 testing OECD/NEA 2014 OECD 2014 testing

{{#scite:

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|reference=FAO 2015
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|reference=IMF 2016
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|publisher=OECD
|year=2014
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|address=Paris, France

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|reference=USGS 2013
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|reference=Enerdata 2015
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|reference=IEA 2015
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|reference=WEO 2015
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}}

{{#scite:

|reference=després2016st
|type=journal-article
|title=Storage as a flexibility option in power systems with high shares of variable renewable energy sources: a POLES-based analysis
|author=Jacques Després;Silvana Mima;Alban Kitous;Patrick Criqui;Nouredine Hadjsaid;Isabelle Noirot|+sep=;
|journal=Energy Economics
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2016
|doi=10.1016/j.eneco.2016.03.006
|subject=Energy(all);Economics and Econometrics|+sep=;
|issn=0140-9883

}} {{#scite:

|reference=pietzcker2016sy
|type=journal-article
|title=System integration of wind and solar power in integrated assessment models: A cross-model evaluation of new approaches
|author=Robert C. Pietzcker;Falko Ueckerdt;Samuel Carrara;Harmen Sytze de Boer;Jacques Després;Shinichiro Fujimori;Nils Johnson;Alban Kitous;Yvonne Scholz;Patrick Sullivan;Gunnar Luderer|+sep=;
|journal=Energy Economics
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2016
|doi=10.1016/j.eneco.2016.11.018
|subject=Energy(all);Economics and Econometrics|+sep=;
|issn=0140-9883

}} {{#scite:EC-JRC 2014

|type=report
|author=EC-JRC
|year=2014
|title=ETRI 2014 - Energy Technology Reference Indicator projections for 2010-2050. [17]
|institution=European Commission - Joint Research Centre
|address=Petten, The Netherlands

}} {{#scite:

|reference=pietzcker2014us
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|title=Using the sun to decarbonize the power sector: The economic potential of photovoltaics and concentrating solar power
|author=Robert Carl Pietzcker;Daniel Stetter;Susanne Manger;Gunnar Luderer|+sep=;
|journal=Applied Energy
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2014
|volume=135
|pages=704-720
|doi=10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.08.011
|subject=Energy(all);Civil and Structural Engineering|+sep=;
|issn=0306-2619

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|type=report
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|title=World Energy Perspective, Cost of Energy Technologies: 2013 Survey. [18]
|institution=World Energy Council
|address=London, United Kingdom

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|reference=duscha2013co
|type=journal-article
|title=Costs of meeting international climate targets without nuclear power
|author=Vicki Duscha;Katja Schumacher;Joachim Schleich;Pierre Buisson|+sep=;
|journal=Climate Policy
|publisher=Informa UK Limited
|year=2013
|volume=14
|issue=3
|pages=327-352
|doi=10.1080/14693062.2014.852018
|subject=Atmospheric Science;Environmental Science(all)|+sep=;
|issn=1469-3062;1752-7457|+sep=;

}} {{#scite:

|reference=griffin2013wh
|type=journal-article
|title=White Knights: will wind and solar come to the rescue of a looming capacity gap from nuclear phase-out or slow CCS start-up?
|author=Bradford Griffin;Pierre Buisson;Patrick Criqui;Silvana Mima|+sep=;
|journal=Climatic Change
|publisher=Springer Nature
|year=2013
|volume=123
|issue=3-4
|pages=623-635
|doi=10.1007/s10584-013-0963-5
|subject=Atmospheric Science;Global and Planetary Change|+sep=;
|issn=0165-0009;1573-1480|+sep=;

}}

{{#scite:EC 2015

|type=report
|author=DG ECFIN
|year=2015
|title=The 2015 Ageing Report: Economic and budgetary projections for the 28 EU Member States (2013-2060). [19]
|institution=European Commission
|address=Brussels, Belgium

}} {{#scite:

|reference=dellink2014co
|type=journal-article
|title=Consequences of Climate Change Damages for Economic Growth
|author=Rob Dellink;Ramiro Parrado;Kelly de Bruin;Elisa Lanzi;Jean Château;Francesco Bosello|+sep=;
|journal=OECD Economics Department Working Papers
|publisher=Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development  (OECD)
|year=2014
|doi=10.1787/5jz2bxb8kmf3-en
|issn=1815-1973

}} {{#scite:

|reference=markandya2014lo
|type=journal-article
|title=Low climate stabilisation under diverse growth and convergence scenarios
|author=A. Markandya;M. González-Eguino;P. Criqui;S. Mima|+sep=;
|journal=Energy Policy
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2014
|volume=64
|pages=288-301
|doi=10.1016/j.enpol.2013.07.046
|subject=Energy(all);Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law|+sep=;
|issn=0301-4215

}}

{{#scite:

|reference=vandyck2016a 
|type=journal-article
|title=A global stocktake of the Paris pledges: Implications for energy systems and economy
|author=Toon Vandyck;Kimon Keramidas;Bert Saveyn;Alban Kitous;Zoi Vrontisi|+sep=;
|journal=Global Environmental Change
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2016
|volume=41
|pages=46-63
|doi=10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.08.006
|subject=Ecology;Geography, Planning and Development;Global and Planetary Change;Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law|+sep=;
|issn=0959-3780

}} {{#scite:EC-JRC 2015

|type=report
|author=Kitous A.; Keramidas K.|+sep=;
|year=2014
|title=Analysis of scenarios integrating the INDCs. [20]
|institution=European Commission - Joint Research Centre
|address=Seville, Spain

}} {{#scite:

|reference=riahi2015lo
|type=journal-article
|title=Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals
|author=Keywan Riahi;Elmar Kriegler;Nils Johnson;Christoph Bertram;Michel den Elzen;Jiyong Eom;Michiel Schaeffer;Jae Edmonds;Morna Isaac;Volker Krey;Thomas Longden;Gunnar Luderer;Aurélie Méjean;David L. McCollum;Silvana Mima;Hal Turton;Detlef P. van Vuuren;Kenichi Wada;Valentina Bosetti;Pantelis Capros;Patrick Criqui;Meriem Hamdi-Cherif;Mikiko Kainuma;Ottmar Edenhofer|+sep=;
|journal=Technological Forecasting and Social Change
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2015
|volume=90
|pages=8-23
|doi=10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.016
|subject=Management of Technology and Innovation;Applied Psychology;Business and International Management|+sep=;
|issn=0040-1625

}} {{#scite:

|reference=veysey2016pa
|type=journal-article
|title=Pathways to Mexico’s climate change mitigation targets: A multi-model analysis
|author=Jason Veysey;Claudia Octaviano;Katherine Calvin;Sara Herreras Martinez;Alban Kitous;James McFarland;Bob van der Zwaan|+sep=;
|journal=Energy Economics
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2016
|volume=56
|pages=587-599
|doi=10.1016/j.eneco.2015.04.011
|subject=Energy(all);Economics and Econometrics|+sep=;
|issn=0140-9883

}} {{#scite:EC-JRC 2005

|type=report
|author=Russ H; Ciscar Martinez J; Szabo L|+sep=;
|year=2005
|title=Analysis of Post-2012 Climate Policy Scenarios with Limited Participation. [21]
|institution=European Commission - Joint Research Centre
|address=Seville, Spain

}} {{#scite:

|reference=criqui2012eu
|type=journal-article
|title=European climate—energy security nexus: A model based scenario analysis
|author=Patrick Criqui;Silvana Mima|+sep=;
|journal=Energy Policy
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2012
|volume=41
|pages=827-842
|doi=10.1016/j.enpol.2011.11.061
|subject=Energy(all);Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law|+sep=;
|issn=0301-4215

}} {{#scite:

|reference=edenhofer 2010th
|type=journal-article
|title=The Economics of Low Stabilization: Model Comparison of Mitigation Strategies and Costs
|author=Ottmar Edenhofer ;Brigitte Knopf;Terry Barker;Lavinia Baumstark;Elie Bellevrat;Bertrand Chateau;Patrick Criqui;Morna Isaac;Alban Kitous;Socrates Kypreos;Marian Leimbach;Kai Lessmann;Bertrand Magne;Serban Scrieciu;Hal Turton;Detlef P. van Vuuren|+sep=;
|journal=The Energy Journal
|publisher=International Association for Energy Economics (IAEE)
|year=2010
|volume=31
|issue=01
|doi=10.5547/issn0195-6574-ej-vol31-nosi-2
|subject=Energy(all);Economics and Econometrics|+sep=;
|issn=0195-6574

}} {{#scite:EC-JRC 2009

|type=report
|author=Russ H; Ciscar Martinez J; Saveyn B; Soria Ramirez A; Szabo L; Van Regemorter D|+sep=;
|year=2005
|title=Economic Assessment of Post-2012 Global Climate Policies - Analysis of Gas Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Scenarios with the POLES and GEM-E3 models. [22]
|institution=European Commission - Joint Research Centre
|address=Seville, Spain

}} {{#scite:

|reference=russ2009in
|type=journal-article
|title=Insights on different participation schemes to meet climate goals
|author=Peter Russ;Tom van Ierland|+sep=;
|journal=Energy Economics
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2009
|volume=31
|pages=S163-S173
|doi=10.1016/j.eneco.2009.07.009
|subject=Energy(all);Economics and Econometrics|+sep=;
|issn=0140-9883

}} {{#scite:

|reference=stankeviciute2008en
|type=journal-article
|title=Energy and climate policies to 2020: the impacts of the European “20/20/20” approach
|author=Loreta Stankeviciute;Patrick Criqui|+sep=;
|journal=International Journal of Energy Sector Management
|publisher=Emerald
|year=2008
|volume=2
|issue=2
|pages=252-273
|doi=10.1108/17506220810883243
|subject=Energy(all);Strategy and Management|+sep=;
|issn=1750-6220

}} {{#scite:

|reference=stankeviciute2008th
|type=journal-article
|title=The fundamentals of the future international emissions trading system
|author=Loreta Stankeviciute;Alban Kitous;Patrick Criqui|+sep=;
|journal=Energy Policy
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2008
|volume=36
|issue=11
|pages=4272-4286
|doi=10.1016/j.enpol.2008.07.035
|subject=Energy(all);Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law|+sep=;
|issn=0301-4215

}} {{#scite:EC-JRC 2007

|type=report
|author=Russ H; Wiesenthal T; Van Regemorter D; Ciscar Martinez J|+sep=;
|year=2005
|title=Global Climate Policy Scenarios for 2030 and beyond - Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Pathway Scenarios with the POLES and GEM-E3 Models. [23]
|institution=European Commission - Joint Research Centre
|address=Seville, Spain

}} {{#scite:

|reference=russ2007po
|type=journal-article
|title=Post-Kyoto CO2 emission reduction: The soft landing scenario analysed with POLES and other world models
|author=Peter Russ;Patrick Criqui|+sep=;
|journal=Energy Policy
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2007
|volume=35
|issue=2
|pages=786-796
|doi=10.1016/j.enpol.2006.03.010
|subject=Energy(all);Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law|+sep=;
|issn=0301-4215

}} {{#scite:

|reference=criqui2006im
|type=journal-article
|title=Impacts of Multi-gas Strategies for Greenhouse Gas Emission Abatement: Insights from a Partial Equilibrium Model
|author=Patrick Criqui;Peter Russ;Daniel Deybe|+sep=;
|journal=The Energy Journal
|publisher=International Association for Energy Economics (IAEE)
|year=2006
|volume=SI2006
|issue=01
|doi=10.5547/issn0195-6574-ej-volsi2006-nosi3-12
|subject=Energy(all);Economics and Econometrics|+sep=;
|issn=0195-6574

}}

{{#scite:

|reference=criqui2015mi
|type=journal-article
|title=Mitigation strategies and energy technology learning: An assessment with the POLES model
|author=P. Criqui;S. Mima;P. Menanteau;A. Kitous|+sep=;
|journal=Technological Forecasting and Social Change
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2015
|volume=90
|pages=119-136
|doi=10.1016/j.techfore.2014.05.005
|subject=Management of Technology and Innovation;Applied Psychology;Business and International Management|+sep=;
|issn=0040-1625

}} {{#scite:

|reference=wiesenthal2012a 
|type=journal-article
|title=A model-based assessment of the impact of revitalised R&D investments on the European power sector
|author=Tobias Wiesenthal;Arnaud Mercier;Burkhard Schade;Hrvoje Petric;Paul Dowling|+sep=;
|journal=Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2012
|volume=16
|issue=1
|pages=105-112
|doi=10.1016/j.rser.2011.07.139
|subject=Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
|issn=1364-0321

}}

{{#scite:

|reference=matzenberger2015fu
|type=journal-article
|title=Future perspectives of international bioenergy trade
|author=Julian Matzenberger;Lukas Kranzl;Eric Tromborg;Martin Junginger;Vassilis Daioglou;Chun Sheng Goh;Kimon Keramidas|+sep=;
|journal=Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2015
|volume=43
|pages=926-941
|doi=10.1016/j.rser.2014.10.106
|subject=Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
|issn=1364-0321

}} {{#scite:

|reference=mubareka2014an
|type=report
|title=An Integrated Modelling Framework for the Forest-based Bioeconomy
|author=Sarah Mubareka;Ragnar Jonsson;Francesca Rinaldi;Giulia Fiorese;Jesús San-Miguel-Ayanz;Ola Sallnäs;Claudia Baranzelli;Roberto Pilli;Carlo Lavalle;Alban Kitous|+sep=;
|institution=Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press
|year=2014
|doi=10.1101/011932

}} {{#scite:

|reference=kranzl2013me
|type=incollection
|title=Medium and Long-Term Perspectives of International Bioenergy Trade
|author=Lukas Kranzl;Vassilis Daioglou;Andre Faaij;Martin Junginger;Kimon Keramidas;Julian Matzenberger;Erik Tromborg|+sep=;
|year=2013
|pages=173-189
|booktitle=Lecture Notes in Energy Vol.17: International Bioenergy Trade
|publisher=Springer Nature
|doi=10.1007/978-94-007-6982-3_8

}} {{#scite:

|reference=luderer2013th
|type=journal-article
|title=The role of renewable energy in climate stabilization: results from the EMF27 scenarios
|author=Gunnar Luderer;Volker Krey;Katherine Calvin;James Merrick;Silvana Mima;Robert Pietzcker;Jasper Van Vliet;Kenichi Wada|+sep=;
|journal=Climatic Change
|publisher=Springer Nature
|year=2013
|volume=123
|issue=3-4
|pages=427-441
|doi=10.1007/s10584-013-0924-z
|subject=Atmospheric Science;Global and Planetary Change|+sep=;
|issn=0165-0009;1573-1480|+sep=;

}} {{#scite:

|reference=vuuren2010bi
|type=journal-article
|title=Bio-Energy Use and Low Stabilization Scenarios
|author=Detlef P. van Vuuren;Elie Bellevrat;Alban Kitous;Morna Isaac|+sep=;
|journal=The Energy Journal
|publisher=International Association for Energy Economics (IAEE)
|year=2010
|volume=31
|issue=01
|doi=10.5547/issn0195-6574-ej-vol31-nosi-8
|subject=Energy(all);Economics and Econometrics|+sep=;
|issn=0195-6574

}}

{{#scite:

|reference=bauer2015co
|type=journal-article
|title=CO2 emission mitigation and fossil fuel markets: Dynamic and international aspects of climate policies
|author=Nico Bauer;Valentina Bosetti;Meriem Hamdi-Cherif;Alban Kitous;David McCollum;Aurélie Méjean;Shilpa Rao;Hal Turton;Leonidas Paroussos;Shuichi Ashina;Katherine Calvin;Kenichi Wada;Detlef van Vuuren|+sep=;
|journal=Technological Forecasting and Social Change
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2015
|volume=90
|pages=243-256
|doi=10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.009
|subject=Management of Technology and Innovation;Applied Psychology;Business and International Management|+sep=;
|issn=0040-1625

}} {{#scite:

|reference=andrews-speed2014co
|type=journal-article
|title=Conflict and cooperation over access to energy: Implications for a low-carbon future
|author=Philip Andrews-Speed;Coby van der Linde;Kimon Keramidas|+sep=;
|journal=Futures
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2014
|volume=58
|pages=103-114
|doi=10.1016/j.futures.2013.12.007
|subject=Development;Business and International Management;Sociology and Political Science|+sep=;
|issn=0016-3287

}} {{#scite:

|reference=mccollum2013fo
|type=journal-article
|title=Fossil resource and energy security dynamics in conventional and carbon-constrained worlds
|author=David McCollum;Nico Bauer;Katherine Calvin;Alban Kitous;Keywan Riahi|+sep=;
|journal=Climatic Change
|publisher=Springer Nature
|year=2013
|volume=123
|issue=3-4
|pages=413-426
|doi=10.1007/s10584-013-0939-5
|subject=Atmospheric Science;Global and Planetary Change|+sep=;
|issn=0165-0009;1573-1480|+sep=;

}} {{#scite:EC-JRC 2013

|type=report
|author=Kitous A; Saveyn B; Gervais S; Wiesenthal T; Soria Ramirez A|+sep=;
|year=2013
|title=Analysis of Iran Oil Embargo. [24]
|institution=European Commission - Joint Research Centre
|address=Seville, Spain

}} {{#scite:

|reference=dowling2012th
|type=journal-article
|title=The benefit from reduced energy import bills and the importance of energy prices in GHG reduction scenarios
|author=Paul Dowling;Peter Russ|+sep=;
|journal=Energy Economics
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2012
|volume=34
|pages=S429-S435
|doi=10.1016/j.eneco.2011.12.010
|subject=Energy(all);Economics and Econometrics|+sep=;
|issn=0140-9883

}}

{{#scite:

|reference=girod2013cl
|type=journal-article
|title=Climate impact of transportation A model comparison
|author=Bastien Girod;Detlef P. van Vuuren;Maria Grahn;Alban Kitous;Son H Kim;Page Kyle|+sep=;
|journal=Climatic Change
|publisher=Springer Nature
|year=2013
|volume=118
|issue=3-4
|pages=595-608
|doi=10.1007/s10584-012-0663-6
|subject=Atmospheric Science;Global and Planetary Change|+sep=;
|issn=0165-0009;1573-1480|+sep=;

}} {{#scite:

|reference=flachsland2011cl
|type=journal-article
|title=Climate policies for road transport revisited (II): Closing the policy gap with cap-and-trade
|author=Christian Flachsland;Steffen Brunner;Ottmar Edenhofer;Felix Creutzig|+sep=;
|journal=Energy Policy
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2011
|volume=39
|issue=4
|pages=2100-2110
|doi=10.1016/j.enpol.2011.01.053
|subject=Energy(all);Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law|+sep=;
|issn=0301-4215

}}

{{#scite:EC-JRC 2014

|type=report
|author=European Commission - Joint Research Centre
|year=2014
|title=Climate Impacts in Europe. The JRC PESETA II Project. [25]
|institution=European Commission - Joint Research Centre
|address=Brussels, Belgium

}} {{#scite:

|reference=dowling2013th
|type=journal-article
|title=The impact of climate change on the European energy system
|author=Paul Dowling
|journal=Energy Policy
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2013
|volume=60
|pages=406-417
|doi=10.1016/j.enpol.2013.05.093
|subject=Energy(all);Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law|+sep=;
|issn=0301-4215

}}

{{#scite:

|reference=kriegler2015di
|type=journal-article
|title=Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy
|author=Elmar Kriegler;Nils Petermann;Volker Krey;Valeria Jana Schwanitz;Gunnar Luderer;Shuichi Ashina;Valentina Bosetti;Jiyong Eom;Alban Kitous;Aurélie Méjean;Leonidas Paroussos;Fuminori Sano;Hal Turton;Charlie Wilson;Detlef P. Van Vuuren|+sep=;
|journal=Technological Forecasting and Social Change
|publisher=Elsevier BV
|year=2015
|volume=90
|pages=45-61
|doi=10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.020
|subject=Management of Technology and Innovation;Applied Psychology;Business and International Management|+sep=;
|issn=0040-1625

}} {{#scite:

|reference=kitous2010tr
|type=journal-article
|title=Transformation Patterns of the Worldwide Energy System - Scenarios for the Century with the POLES Model
|author=Alban Kitous;Patrick Criqui;Elie Bellevrat;Bertrand Chateau|+sep=;
|journal=The Energy Journal
|publisher=International Association for Energy Economics (IAEE)
|year=2010
|volume=31
|issue=01
|doi=10.5547/issn0195-6574-ej-vol31-nosi-3
|subject=Energy(all);Economics and Econometrics|+sep=;
|issn=0195-6574

}} {{#scite:

|reference=EC 2006
|type=report
|title=World Energy Technology Outlook 2050: WETO H2. [26]
|author=European Commission
|year=2006
|institution=European Commission
|address=Brussels, Belgium

}} {{#scite:

|reference=EC 2003
|type=report
|title=World energy, technology and climate policy outlook 2030: WETO. [27]
|author=European Commission
|year=2006
|institution=European Commission
|address=Brussels, Belgium

}}

{{#scite:

|reference=kriegler2015ma
|type=journal-article
|title=Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy
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|year=2015
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|pages=24-44
|doi=10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.021
|subject=Management of Technology and Innovation;Applied Psychology;Business and International Management|+sep=;
|issn=0040-1625

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