References - IFs

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Model Documentation - IFs

Corresponding documentation
Previous versions
Model information
Model link
Institution Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, University of Denver (Pardee Center), Colorado, USA, https://pardee.du.edu/.
Solution concept
Solution method Dynamic recursive with annual time steps through 2100.
Anticipation Myopic

Birkmann, Joern, Susan L. Cutter, Dale S. Rothman, Torsten Welle, Matthias Garschagen, Bas van Ruijven, et al. 2013. "Scenarios for Vulnerability: Opportunities and Constraints in the Context of Climate Change and Disaster Risk.” Climatic Change 133(1): 53–68. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0913-2.

Burt, Alison, Barry B. Hughes, and Gary Milante. 2014. “Eradicating Poverty in Fragile States: Prospects of Reaching the ‘High-Hanging’ Fruit by 2030.” WB Policy Research Working Paper no. 7002. World Bank, Washington, DC. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/08/20040315/eradicating-poverty-fragile-states-prospects-reaching-high-hanging-fruit-2030.

Dickson, Janet R., Barry B. Hughes, and Mohammod T. Irfan. 2010. Advancing Global Education. Vol. 2 of the Patterns of Potential Human Progress series. Boulder, CO, and New Delhi, India: Paradigm Publishers and Oxford University Press.

Hillebrand, Evan E., and Stacy Closson. 2015. Energy, Economic Growth, and Geopolitical Futures. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

Hughes, Barry B., ed. 2013a. "Development-Oriented Policies and Alternative Human Development Paths: Aggressive but Reasonable Interventions." Prepared by the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures. UNDP Occasional Paper 2013/05. Human Development Report Office, United Nations Development Programme, New York, NY. http://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/hdro_1305_pardee.pdf.

Hughes, Barry B. 2016. “International Futures (IFs) and Integrated, Long-Term Forecasting of Global Transformations.” Futures 81(August): 98–118. DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2015.07.007.

Hughes, Barry B. forthcoming 2019. Exploring and Understanding International Futures: Building a Global Modeling System. Amsterdam: Elsevier.

Hughes, Barry B., David Bohl, Mohammod Irfan, Eli Margolese-Malin, and José R. Solórzano. 2016. “ICT/Cyber Benefits and Costs: Reconciling Competing Perspectives on the Current and Future Balance.” Technological Forecasting and Social Change 115(February): 117–130. DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.09.027.

Hughes, Barry B., and Evan E. Hillebrand. 2006. Exploring and Shaping International Futures. Boulder, CO: Paradigm.

Hughes, Barry B., Mohammod T. Irfan, Haider Khan, Krishna B. Kumar, Dale S. Rothman, and José R. Solórzano. 2009. Reducing Global Poverty. Vol. 1 of the Patterns of Potential Human Progress series. Boulder, CO, and New Delhi, India: Paradigm Publishers and Oxford University Press.

Hughes, Barry B., Mohammod T. Irfan, Jonathan D. Moyer, Dale S. Rothman, and José R. Solórzano. 2011. "Forecasting the Impacts of Environmental Constraints on Human Development." Human Development Research Paper 2011/08. United Nations Development Programme, New York, NY. http://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/hdrp_2011_08.pdf.

Hughes, Barry B., Mohammod T. Irfan, Jonathan D. Moyer, Dale S. Rothman, and José R. Solórzano. 2012. "Exploring Future Impacts of Environmental Constraints on Human Development." Sustainability 4(5): 958–994. DOI: 10.3390/su4050958.

Hughes, Barry B., and Peter D. Johnston. 2005. “Sustainable Futures: Policies for Global Development.” Futures 37(8): 813–831. DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2005.01.017.

Hughes, Barry B., Devin K. Joshi, Jonathan D. Moyer, Timothy D. Sisk, and José R. Solórzano. 2014. Strengthening Governance Globally. Vol. 5 of the Patterns of Potential Human Progress series. Boulder, CO, and New Delhi, India: Paradigm Publishers and Oxford University Press.

Hughes, Barry B., Randall Kuhn, Cecilia M. Peterson, Dale S. Rothman, and José R. Solórzano. 2011a. Improving Global Health. Vol. 3 of the Patterns of Potential Human Progress series. Boulder, CO, and New Delhi, India: Paradigm Publishers and Oxford University Press.

Hughes, Barry B., Randall Kuhn, Cecilia M. Peterson, Dale S. Rothman, José R. Solórzano, Colin D. Mathers, and Janet R. Dickson. 2011b. "Projections of Global Health Outcomes from 2005 to 2060 Using the International Futures Integrated Forecasting Tool." Bulletin of the World Health Organization 89(7): 478–486. DOI: 10.2471/BLT.10.083766.

Milante, Gary, Barry B. Hughes, and Alison Burt. 2016. “Poverty Eradication in Fragile Places: Prospects for Harvesting the Highest Hanging Fruit by 2030.” Stability: International Journal of Security and Development 5(1): 1–24. DOI: 10.5334/sta.435.

Moyer, Jonathan D., and Barry B. Hughes. 2012. "ICTs: Do They Contribute to Increased Carbon Emissions?" Technological Forecasting and Social Change 79(5): 919–931. DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.12.005.

Rothman, Dale S., Mohammod T. Irfan, Eli Margolese-Malin, Barry B. Hughes, and Jonathan D. Moyer. 2014. Building Global Infrastructure. Vol. 4 of the Patterns of Potential Human Progress series. Boulder, CO, and New Delhi, India: Paradigm Publishers and Oxford University Press.